50,000 vs 200,000 – Which is greater?

Measuring disease and health outcomes, Part 1 – Frequency

How do we measure how often a particular disease happens in a population? How do we identify which diseases are more far-reaching or have the worst outcomes? How do we decide at what level we should intervene?

By knowing the frequency.

Frequency guides us by telling us how often an event happens in a particular population over a specific time. It helps us understand how a disease affects a population or rather the health outcomes by measuring it.

To do this we have to clearly identify what we are looking for and this is called a case definition. This is because not all health outcomes or diseases are black and white, therefore having a clear cut-off point helps us measure how many people are affected by it. For example, if we want to see how many obese people are in a community our case definition would be to look for people with a BMI > 30. It can go beyond clinical issues such as looking at the number of people over the age of 60 who had fallen in the last month. In the latter, the case could occur once or even more than that.

Basically by getting a clear definition. We are able to identify the individuals in the population.

However, knowing the frequency of an event can be misleading as population size can affect our perception of it. For example, if I said there were 200,000 known diabetics in London and 50,000 in Hull City. You would think that Hull had fewer diabetics, right? Now, what if I told you that the population of London is 8 million people while Hull only has 200,000 people. Does that change your mind?

This is why we need to know the population and identify the population at risk.

We will talk more about that in Part 2.