World AIDS Day

Today, as I clicked and read posts on World AIDS Day all across social media and the news, I realised that while it is part and parcel of my training to know about HIV/AIDs and the clinical aspects of it. I realised I did not know nearly enough about the history and how we have progressed over the years especially in public health terms. 

So, I spent most of the day reading up on it.

What I have come to learn is that unlike many other epidemics or diseases, we as human beings could have dealt with this better. The WHO states that ‘Fear, stigma and ignorance’ were the main drivers of this disease. While I cannot blame fear at the very beginning because we lacked knowledge, information and we were driven by the fear to survive. Our failings came to the forefront when we identified the groups at risk and it being spread by sexual contact.  

Essentially stigma stopped us from being able to apply the usual standards of disease control. It is appalling to think that fear, stigma and the ability to assign some form of fault/prejudice were such driving forces that we had to change our approach.

Thankfully, things have changed and we are at a point in time where there is a commitment globally to end it as a public health threat by the year 2030. The methods being used are improving identification by expanding testing, simplifying treatment as well as monitoring and of course pushing for prevention which has been demonstrated by ’low-income countries’ to be effective. One such example is how Ugandans have managed to half the rate of infections over a ten-year period by pushing for education and prevention methods. 

While, there is still a lot to do. I think my take home message while not strictly a pubic health one today – is that we as people need to try hate a little less and not be afraid of difference. Perhaps things could have been easier if we as human beings could believe that regardless of circumstances everyone had the right to life. 

I have linked some of articles below if you would like to have a read. 

Links
Applying Public Health Principles to the HIV Epidemic
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmsb053133?fbclid=IwAR06y0hA1M4GsSlaDRFTTMHranhLRKL0bcRc8rVUmKu_MYLlWTbY6Utc6ns

WHAT IS HIV/AIDS? – Public Health
https://www.publichealth.org/public-awareness/hiv-aids/

The WHO public health approach to HIV treatment and care: looking back and looking ahead
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(17)30482-6/fulltext#seccestitle110

The WHO public health approach to HIV treatment and care: looking back and looking ahead
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(17)30482-6/fulltext

Types of descriptive and analytical studies

In my last post, I talked about what descriptive and analytical studies are. I also mentioned what types of studies fall under these two categories.

Always easier to visualise. No?

So quick recap

  1. Observational studies consists of descriptive and analytical studies.
  2. This can divided further into 6 different types of study designs.

I think the easiest way to approach this is to explain each type ending with the two that overlap – that is Ecological and Cross-sectional study. Hopefully, you will understand why by the end of the of this post.

Descriptive studies

  1. Case Report
    These are usually common in medicine. It basically is an interesting or rare case that is written up for the purpose of letting other people learn more about it. It details the symptoms, signs, diagnosis, how we got to the diagnosis, management and follow-up. It is based on an individual scenario.
  2. Case Series
    Can be thought of as multiple case reports , a collection of information or a group of people all of which are unified by a single exposure. For example, you have a number of patients given a particular treatment. You then review their records to establish the exposure and the outcome.

NOTE – Both case series and case reports are observational. What we see is literally what we write up and document. The exposures and outcomes are not controlled or augmented. Think of it as a journalist reporting on an event.

Analytical Studies

3. Case-control studies – remember here we have a hypotheses and we are testing it!

First of all we need to establish that in case-control studies we are looking back in time/retrospectively. We have our data and we establish two different groups. Our Case group consists of individuals with a particular outcome. Our Control group consists of individuals without the outcome. After establishing our groups, we look back on both and see how they differ in being exposed to a certain risk factor that we think contributes to the outcome. A classic example is the influenza virus and vaccinations. What are we trying to assess – whether vaccines reduce the chance of a person getting influenza.

Case – people with influenza
Control – people without influenza
What do we think is the reason they did not get ill in this instance? Vaccines!

Also, because it is retrospective it is relatively cheap and easy to carry out without losing patients to follow-up. However it tells us nothing about the incidence of the disease in the population and there might be some recall bias – as we look back in time.

4. Cohort studies

Cohort studies are carried out in the present. Once again you have two groups (let’s use the influenza example) one group who has been vaccinated while another has not. We then follow-up this group in real time to see who gets the influenza virus. What we are assessing is an outcome based on whether they were exposed to a risk factor. Another way of looking at this is the risk factor being the human papilloma virus (HPV) and the outcome being cervical cancer. So we essentially follow up these two groups to see how many from each group get cervical cancer and if there is a correlation to HPV infection.

Now, because this is done in real time it is not as easy or cheap to carry out. There is also a high chance of losing people to follow-up. However, it does tell you the incidence of a certain outcome in each group and there is less chance for recall bias.

Descriptive & Analytical

Ecological & Cross-sectional study

Now, the first thing you need to know, is that ecological and cross-sectional studies are very similar. They both basically give us a snapshot of a population at a point in time or over a certain period (ie a year). So what they tell us is the prevalence (how much of a disease there already is) at any given time/period of time. The defining difference is that ecological studies focuses on an entire population, while cross-sectional can be at a population level or a subset of it.

So when going over data, you will never see individuals in an ecological study but groups or aggregates of individuals based on things such as incomes, countries, age groups etc. While cross-sectional studies focus on the individuals.

These studies are both done in real time, and can be used to both test or generate a hypothesis therefore being both descriptive and analytical.

How?

An ecological study can be looking at the different income groups and their health at a given time and a cross-sectional study can just look at the people who have a particular disease at a given time. We just get the facts and learn about the prevalence of a certain disease. We then can generate a hypothesis and carry out an analytical study to test the association by doing either

If we were doing a descriptive study about chronic lung disease in Malaysia, we would look at all the states in Malaysia and gather info on which has the highest amount of chronic lung disease. But then we think, I wonder if the haze in South East Asia has an association with chronic lung disease? We then do an analytical ecological study, looking at the different states with chronic lung disease and their air pollution indexes. However, because it is an ecological study it really does not tell us anything about the individual, for all we know there could be other risk factors such as them smoking, having previous nasty chest infections etc.

For cross-sectional studies, a descriptive study would be a survey telling us the prevalence of hypertension in a population. All we have here is the how many people have the disease. Let’s say we think aging affects your chances of getting hypertension. We then look at people with hypertension and without hypertension and see if old age has a correlation. Here we have individual data instead of groups.

What is really important about both studies is that it only tells us about what cases are already there (prevalence) but nothing about new cases (incidence). It is because of this it doesn’t really help with studying cause and effect.

I know this is a ridiculously long post, but I hope it has been beneficial and I have managed to explain this as easily as possible. It did take me a couple of tries to wrap my head around it. Do leave me any feedback or thoughts, would love to hear from you!

Study design – Observational

One of the most important facets of public health is understanding epidemiological studies. I might also add that it is the one thing I repeatedly have to look over and a lot of my peers and colleagues find confusing and struggle with.

A quick recap of what epidemiology is – Put simply, it deals with figuring out the who, what, when, where, why and how certain diseases happen and telling us the way we can overcome/stop it.

Now epidemiology is actually made up of both Observational and Interventional studies, and to start we will talk about observational studies.

They are quite self-explanatory, as they are just that – observational. All we are doing is essentially just having an overall look. However, there are different ways to do this, and that is by being either descriptive or analytical.

So what are the main differences between these two types of research/studies we can carry out and what do we gain from it? I prefer the 5W’s and 1 H method of thinking about it.

Descriptive Analytical
Who?
What?
When?
Where?
Why?
How?

So descriptive studies, look at an overall picture. It tells us what is going on, what is involved, who is involved, where it is happening and when without telling us Why or How. We basically go in without an idea for cause and effect. It essentially helps us identify them by examining patterns and by giving us an overall idea of the population, the distribution of health based on age, gender, location and time/over a period of time. It is from this, that we might identify a problem leading to ideas for new studies to figure out the why, how and perhaps even move on to an interventional study.

If let’s say I was selling chocolate and I wanted to know more about my customers, my initial descriptive study would tell me about the people who are buying my chocolates, where they live etc. I might learn, that only hipsters in their late 20’s buy my brand of chocolate but I still do not know why (well maybe because it’s unheard of?). My next task is to figure out why and perhaps how I can make my chocolate more appealing to different groups.

Examples of descriptive studies can be further broken down to cross-sectional study=ies like a health survey, ecological studies or even case reports/case series. Remember all it does, is present the facts for what they are and is a starting point for us to make associations and come up with new ideas.

Analytical studies then basically go into how this is happening and why? It is one of the ways to investigate causal relationships. So in these studies, I have a hypothesis/an idea. A health-related example would be that ‘smokers have a higher risk of lung cancer than non-smokers. We then investigate if this is true or not. How we go about this, is either with a case-control study, cohort study, cross-sectional study or an ecological study.

Something visual to help, the rest will be revealed as we move on.

How come cross-sectional and ecological studies are in both descriptive and analytical studies? Well, I will go into that when I talk more about the different types of studies mentioned in the next post.

When equality is simply not enough.

I have always thought of equality as important and a necessity. I do believe that everyone deserves to be treated as an equal – in status, rights and opportunities.

But the fact is, that most of us have different opportunities because we do not start off on equal footing. We all have our own set of advantages and disadvantages which give us a leg up compared to someone else.

It is because of this that equality is simply not enough in healthcare. While the idea of dividing already scarce resources evenly across the board sounds fair in principle, is it fair to say that a child born with Cerebral Palsy should get the same allocation (think funding in terms of healthcare) as one without CP?

As such we have Equity.

And in equity we look more at how resources are distributed as opposed to how we can get the most benefit from it.

Equity basically revolves around the principles of justice and fairness. This assessment of fairness is subjective. In equity we are going to say that more money should be given to the child with Cerebral Palsy because we can argue that to have the same quality of life as a child without CP they need more assistance, special equipment and that naturally incurs more costs.

This of course could be said to not be efficient.

So efficiency has many forms – from getting the most value for money, the most amount of output from a single input to reducing wait times in healthcare.

So which do we choose – equity, equality or efficiency? Here’s another example.

When I was in Sabah (Borneo), I worked in the main tertiary referral centre. While it was great and I learnt a lot, one of the biggest issues our patients had was in accessing healthcare because of costs, distance, lack of public transportation and the lack of equally equipped healthcare facilities close by.

While I can understand that concentrating all our efforts into one main centre is more cost effective, spreading it out and equipping other units to cope better would make my patients lives a lot easier.

Is it an efficient use of our resources? Probably not, but it sure would make me feel a lot better and in this scenario I think most of you would agree. Let’s go back to the child with CP though.

Now, if we did not practice equity and went on equality (everyone gets the same) would the argument then be that the child without CP would have an added advantage and therefore and even better quality of life?

Does this then make it more efficient as a whole? Or does the negative quality of life experienced by the child with CP who got less than they would if things were equitable, counter the ‘apparent advantages’ seen and we are right back where we started?

What do you think?

What does cake and ice cream have to do with margins?

We now know what opportunity costs are and how that shows us our potential losses based on what could have been. And while that tells us where our money should go, there are still other factors to consider such as Margins and their costs and benefits.

Margins can be thought of as the next unit or a theoretical border. And Marginal Change is basically how change affects this “border” – either positively or negatively. So when weighing up decisions in healthcare, we look at marginal benefits and costs.

Marginal benefits = the benefit of one more unit of output
Marginal costs = the cost of one more unit of output

And because I like silly anecdotes to help me remember things. I think of my friend who was very worried about fitting into her wedding dress. So if the marginal benefit of having a slice of cake is greater than the marginal costs, she proceeds to have a slice of cake – cause it is delicious! However, let us pretend that having that one slice of cake will mean she will no longer fit into her wedding dress and she does not have time to get it altered for the wedding. Then we could say here that the marginal costs outweigh the benefit of having that yummy slice of cake, so she decides she is not going to have it – cause although it is yummy, her wedding will be ruined because she won’t have a dress to wear.

What is this I hear about the Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility?

I think it is important to note that Utility here refers to satisfaction or happiness gained by the recipient.

That is a pretty interesting phenomenon. You know when you decide to dig into a pint of Ben & Jerry’s and that first mouthful is the best feeling in the world? But then you have more and more, and by the end of it you feel sick cause you are lactose intolerant and realise that it was a terrible idea to eat the whole pint of ice cream. (Or is this just me?) Now that is diminishing marginal utility – cause each extra unit of input yields less and less additional output/benefit. Essentially the benefit or the good diminishes as the consumption of it increases.

So, how does this work in healthcare.

Well marginal analysis – understanding the costs, benefits and diminishing marginal utility help us get the most bang for our buck really. It lets us know how well an intervention/screening programme or service is run as well as if it is worth investing more or further in it.

It also tells us when resources should be moved from programmes producing less
marginal benefit per unit of cost to programmes producing more, as then the total benefit from the resources will increase.

The million dollar question is – Will spending more on healthcare truly show a benefit or are we going to experience the law of diminishing utility, where more money is pumped into healthcare but quality of life and overall satisfaction stagnates. Could the same additional funds instead be allocated to education or housing with better utility?

While I still do not know the answer to that question, I would love to hear your take on it.


Opportunity costs

In Disease Detectives, I talked about the utilisation of limited resources.

So the question is what factors come into play when making decisions about what are the best possible interventions/actions we should take.

Opportunity costs is one of those factors.

In healthcare our main issues are

  1. How do we get the best outcomes
  2. How do we reach the most amount of people
  3. How do we keep costs low or within the scope of the resources available

And this of course means we always have to make choices, and opportunity costs is one of the guiding factors in this decision making process. So what is opportunity costs?

It is basically the potential good outcome that is lost by the utilisation of resources or efforts in another area/intervention.

What on earth does this even mean?

The easiest way I understand this is in terms of hospital beds (in wards) and primary health care centres (outpatient/GPs).

So let us say we figure out that if one person is admitted in hospital, the same amount of funds could have been allocated to treating 15 people in a GP setting. So this is an opportunity cost because by having that one bed/admission, we lose the funds to treat 15 people in an outpatient setting.

And if I relate it to paediatrics, for every child admitted to ward requiring their parents to take time off work – that time spent in the hospital with one child also means a missed activity with other family/children or even wages lost .

Why is this important?

Because it shows us that requiring admission for treatment really should be a last resort and that it would be more cost effective if we could reduce the number of admissions.

So the next question is how do we figure out which is the best way to do that?

Mythology, culture, beliefs and health

To Understand Health Services as they are today, we need to understand what has influenced them over the years. In our module we are given examples of 9 historical factors given that has shaped health services in the United Kingdom today.

These factors are :

1. Evolving understanding of illness
2. Technology
3. Socio-demographic changes
4. Social attitudes
5. Religion
6. Finance
7. Physical environment
8. War
9. Healthcare professionals

Being Malaysian and having worked in healthcare at home, I cannot help but think of what has affected and shaped our health service. Built on the backbone of our colonial history, Malaysia’s healthcare system is similar to that of the NHS. However, one of the most pertinent historical factors which I believe still plays a role today, would be culture, mythology and religion.

From visiting the local medicine man or “bomoh”, to the consumption of Chinese Herbs to balance out the hot and cold elements, to resorting to religious leaders in search of a cure through prayer and offerings. Malaysians have come very far in their understanding of illness and do seek medical attention at hospitals, yet these cultural practices have stood the test of time and while they mostly coexist quite harmoniously, I have unfortunately had to convince some of my patients that it might be best to hedge your bets and get the best of both worlds.

However it is these reasons as well that Mental Health is still a work in progress, as a lot of it is associated with being possessed by evil demons and spirits, to having being put under a spell.

An example would be ‘Amok’ or more contemporarily known as to run amok. Amok is actually listed as a syndrome in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. Described by Merriam-Webster as a sudden episode of mass assault by a single individual following a period of brooding. The belief behind it was that there was a hantu belian – tiger spirit that took over the person and caused them to act out in that manner. These beliefs still persist till this day and are only some of the barriers left to overcome in addressing Mental Health issues in Malaysia. What about your country?

Can you identify with any of the 9 historical factors listed with regards to what has your country’s current healthcare services? Please do drop me a line in the comments, would love to hear about them.

Disease Detectives?

One of the first activities in my course module – Issues in Public Health was looking at the role of an epidemiologist.

What is an epidemiologist?

The explanation I personally love was by the CDC* who described them quite aptly as ‘Disease Detectives’. These sleuths search for clues looking for the cause of disease, try and identify who are the people at risk and then try to figure out how we can stop the disease from spreading and preventing a future episode.

And while familiar, I definitely did not realise that there were some differeing opinions on what the focus of epidemiologists or public health should be.

The critique has been that the focus has been to much on individual risk factors while excluding all the other factors that contribute to disease.

But should public health professionals be focusing on the social determinants of health solely OR other individual risk factors?

A good example used was in discussing how to combat Malnutrition. How do we solve this and what should the focus be?

Do we take a step back and address the other social issues contributing to poverty leading to malnutrition. Or do we spend time and effort finding out that by supplementing Vitamin A in these individuals we greatly reduce their risk of blindness and death by starting them on Vitamin A supplements? While we haven’t solved the issue of Malnutrition per se, I feel it is better to be doing something that reduces the negative outcomes cause the reality is that pushing for those changes with bureaucracy can be long-drawn out. So, why not assist and intervene where we can?

However, this of course does mean that we are diverting our focus, energy and more importantly our already limited resources. And is it then the best utilisation of our resources? – now that’s a concept in Health Economics that we will discuss in another post.

But what do you think?


*CDC – Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Public health at the crossroads: which way forward?
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(97)09494-4/fulltext
–> this article is available for free

Should the mission of epidemiology include the eradication of poverty?
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(98)01327-0/fulltext
–> this is unfortunately paid unless you have access

Great Stink of London & tooth decay?

So, what does the Great Stink of London and tooth decay have in common?

Well, they are both examples of how public health measures have made a big impact on our day to day lives. 

John Snow was the physician who figured out that the cholera outbreak during the Great Stink was localised to a single public water pump on Broad Street. At that point of time, the concept of disease spreading by the fecal-oral route was unheard of. Though it took time, his findings of how a contaminated water source was the source of disease in the community was what inspired fundamental changes to how water and sanitation systems are developed in cities, which in turn improved overall health. 

If you look at the back of your toothpaste tube, regardless of brand you will see that it has fluoride. This is because fluoride has been shown to help prevent tooth decay. So what would be the simplest most effective way of making sure everyone gets enough fluoride then? By the fluoridation of water. In fact a report by Public Health England showed that 5 year olds who lived in areas where fluoride levels were adjusted in the water source were 15% less likely to have tooth decay and hospital admissions for dental caries were 45% lower. 

So, what is public health and why is it important?

Well according to the WHO – it is “The art and science of preventing disease, prolonging life and promoting health through the organised efforts of society”. 

To me, it is medical care and everything else outside of it, where sometimes the simplest and smallest changes can have the largest impact and make a big difference to the lives of many. And that’s what makes it so important. 

Original: Cartoon from Punch Magazine, Volume 15 Page 152; 7 October 1848This copy: Punch archives, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4465077

Why Public Health?

I often found myself feeling that I wished I could do more for my patients. In a sense, I found clinical medicine to be somewhat limited in this aspect. We focused on the here and now, pre-emptively made plans for the future and we did our best, but it simply was not enough. 

Surely there was more that could have been done to prevent this? 
Surely there was more that we could do?

I often felt in practice that what I did treatment wise accounted for little in terms of overall quality of life and health. My patients backgrounds, education levels, financial, environmental and social issues played a far more important role in determining this. The Social Determinants of Health shows that while medical care is important – it only accounts for about 10-20% of what factors into a persons overall health. Which just goes to show how incredibly important public health is. 

While recognition of the importance of public health is on the rise, there are still a lot of people who do not really understand what it encompasses. And hopefully I will make that clearer in my posts to come.